Defiance Daily Target Etf Performance

RIOX Etf   7.39  2.01  21.38%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.08, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Defiance Daily will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Defiance Daily Target has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more

Defiance Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,585  in Defiance Daily Target on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (645.00) from holding Defiance Daily Target or give up 40.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. Defiance Daily Target is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 10.2107% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 91% of etfs are less volatile than Defiance, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defiance Daily is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 13.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Defiance Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Defiance Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.39 90 days 7.39 
about 86.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.88 (This Defiance Daily Target probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 3.08 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Defiance Daily will likely underperform. Additionally Defiance Daily Target has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Defiance Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Defiance Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Daily Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.479.4319.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.469.2119.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.5814.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.0210.9114.80
Details

Defiance Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Daily Target, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Defiance Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Daily Target can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Defiance Daily generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Defiance Daily has high historical volatility and very poor performance

About Defiance Daily Performance

Evaluating Defiance Daily's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Defiance Daily has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Defiance Daily has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Defiance Daily is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NYSE ARCA exchange.
Defiance Daily generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Defiance Daily has high historical volatility and very poor performance
When determining whether Defiance Daily Target is a strong investment it is important to analyze Defiance Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Defiance Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Defiance Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Defiance Daily Target. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Investors evaluate Defiance Daily Target using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Defiance Daily's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Defiance Daily's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Defiance Daily's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Defiance Daily should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Defiance Daily's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.